Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Mary's
West Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#43
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#43
Pace60.9#340
Improvement-4.3#324

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#43
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-6.6#348

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#43
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.4#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four25.5% n/a n/a
First Round26.3% n/a n/a
Second Round11.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 212   St. Francis (PA) W 85-68 93%     1 - 0 +10.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 13, 2017 60   New Mexico St. W 92-74 67%     2 - 0 +23.9 +2.9 +2.9
  Nov 15, 2017 165   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-57 89%     3 - 0 +16.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 19, 2017 301   @ San Jose St. W 79-61 92%     4 - 0 +12.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 23, 2017 133   Harvard W 89-71 79%     5 - 0 +19.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 24, 2017 181   Washington St. L 79-84 86%     5 - 1 -6.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2017 58   Georgia L 81-83 OT 56%     5 - 2 +6.9 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2017 233   @ California W 74-63 86%     6 - 2 +9.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 04, 2017 290   Sacramento St. W 70-54 97%     7 - 2 +5.3 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 09, 2017 190   Seattle W 97-73 92%     8 - 2 +19.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2017 154   UC Irvine W 73-66 88%     9 - 2 +4.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2017 158   Dayton W 69-54 88%     10 - 2 +12.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2017 194   UNC Asheville W 95-69 92%     11 - 2 +20.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 28, 2017 231   Loyola Marymount W 87-59 94%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +20.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 30, 2017 80   @ BYU W 74-64 OT 53%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +19.9 +4.9 +4.9
  Jan 04, 2018 173   Pacific W 74-56 90%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +14.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 06, 2018 130   San Diego W 70-63 86%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +6.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 11, 2018 261   @ Santa Clara W 81-57 89%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +21.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 13, 2018 269   @ Pepperdine W 91-67 90%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +20.7 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2018 9   @ Gonzaga W 74-71 20%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +22.3 +9.7 +9.7
  Jan 20, 2018 173   @ Pacific W 72-69 78%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +5.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2018 80   BYU W 75-62 74%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +16.8 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 27, 2018 271   Portland W 72-55 96%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +7.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Feb 01, 2018 144   San Francisco W 79-43 87%     22 - 2 11 - 0 +34.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 03, 2018 130   @ San Diego W 65-62 70%     23 - 2 12 - 0 +8.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 08, 2018 231   @ Loyola Marymount W 83-62 86%     24 - 2 13 - 0 +19.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 10, 2018 9   Gonzaga L 65-78 40%     24 - 3 13 - 1 +0.3 +6.6 +6.6
  Feb 15, 2018 144   @ San Francisco L 63-70 73%     24 - 4 13 - 2 -2.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 17, 2018 271   @ Portland W 73-61 90%     25 - 4 14 - 2 +8.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 22, 2018 269   Pepperdine W 75-61 96%     26 - 4 15 - 2 +4.7 -4.7 -4.7
  Feb 24, 2018 261   Santa Clara W 67-40 96%     27 - 4 16 - 2 +17.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Mar 03, 2018 269   Pepperdine W 69-66 93%     28 - 4 -3.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Mar 05, 2018 80   BYU L 72-85 64%     28 - 5 -6.1 +3.4 +3.4
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 38.5% 38.5% 10.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 8.6 25.0 0.8 61.5 38.5%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 38.5% 0.0% 38.5% 10.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 8.6 25.0 0.8 61.5 38.5%